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Last night’s vote in the House of Commons was disastrous for the cause of progressive, humanitarian intervention, as well as being damaging to Britain’s reputation on the global stage. The Commons decided to retreat into inaction and isolationism at exactly the same time as the BBC were showing horrifying footage of a napalm-like attack on a Syrian school.
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You didn’t fear anything like that because of all the safeguards put in place to make sure it never happened again…..and then it did. The destruction of our economy in 2008 shook people to their soul. No one will ever just charge and spend. Everyone will hold back and save a bit more than before. You cannot return to an overheated economy when the nature of people is to save a buck instead of charge a buck. This will not leave for a generation or two.
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Both exemplify a tendency called the bullwhip effect. First demonstrated in the 1960s by researchers at MIT, groups of students would act as a supply chain for a beer company, but only one group would actually see customer demand. The remainder of the teams would see the other suppliers and attempt to react to what the other suppliers were doing. Because of the lack of information and communication, minor changes in demand would cause enormous oscillations in supply. Graphed out, these oscillations looked a lot like a bullwhip does when it’s cracked, with each oscillation getting larger over time.
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